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LLANELLI - VENTSPILS

Ventpils je litvanijski sampion u dobroj su formi, i imaju dobre tehnicke sposobnosti. Ipak, prosle godine u ovoj fazi, igrali su protiv tadasnjeg sampiona Welsa, TNS-a i izgubili prvi utakmicu 3-2, kuci su pobedili 2-1, i prosli dalje. TNS je bio razocaran sto nije prosao dalje i njihov tadasnji sef, pomagao je Lianelliu da se spremi za veceras.

Domacin je ocigledno dosao do nesto novca i i osvojili duplu krunu prosle sezone , ukljucujuci i osvajanje prve titule ikad. Pravilno su se pripremali, vrativsi se rano sa odmora i otisli su u Litvaniju da gledaju protivnicki tim. Imaju veoma iskusan tim, sa nekoliko velikih igraca, ukljucujuci bivseg Welskog reprezentativca, Matthew Jonesa(Leeds) i Jasona Bowena (Birmingham/ Reading). Llanelli sigurno nije slabiji od TNS-a i imaju olaksicu na pocetku, igraju kod juce protiv gosta koji ce se braniti, koji se zadovoljio sa neresenim rezultatom, izgleda previse dobro da bi propustili.

6 points LLanelli +1/4 ball 1.91 asian line.  

Engleska, prijateljska

EBBSFLEET - CHARLTON ATHLETIC

Ovo je neka vrsta derbi utakmice i Charltonovi navijaci se nece dvoumiti da doputuju u velikom broju. Oni su se susreli i u proslom presezonskom mecu i Charlton je poslao rezerve, i izgubio 5-1. Danas definitvno salju veoma jak tim, sa 7=8 prvotimaca, ukljucujuci Svetoslava TOdorova koji ce igrati u napadu sa talentovanim LUke Varneyem, koji je postigao pobednicki gol na Wellingu sredinom nedelje, mec se odigrao na jakoj kisi.

Todorov je bio slobodan za taj mec, ali je odlucio da ne rizikuje, jer se vratio sa povrede. Charlton ima razne napadacke opcije, sa 6 napadaa, koji bi dobli sansu na vecini sezonskih utakmica. Zato, je vazno da kad pocnu, pokusaju da ostave utisak, sa novim Stuart Fleetwoodom, koji je bio najbolji neligaski napadac prosle sezone, sedece na klupi i biti nestrpljiv da se umesa, prva 2 napadaca ce biti nestrpljiva da se dokazu Alanu Pardewu da su oni prava kombinacija.

Odbrana je izgledala solidno, dopustivsi Wellingu veoma malo, sredina je jaka i ovo je Charltonova strane koja ce stvarno dobro doci u trci za visi rang ove godine. Domacini nisu novajlije i sa FA trofejem u kabinetu, ce povecati svoje sanse u BSP-u ove sezone, ali postoji velika razlika u klasi i Charlton je naostren da postigne nesto ove sezone.

To je kljuc, Charlton je jedini klub koji znam da je svoje igrace "trenirao" nakoj pocetka sezone, i dali su im pojedinacne rasporede, bili su praceni od kluba, posle kratkog tronedeljnog odmora. Tokom ranih nedelje sezone i sad sto je vazno, ocekujem da im ovo da prednost nad protivnicima.

Ebbsfleet United - Charlton Athletic (1:0) Handicap - Tip: 2  

FT - 0-6 !

USA
MLS
LA GALAXY - CD CHIVAS

Nakon sto sam tipovao protiv LA skoro, osecam da sad treba da stanem na njihovu stranu u derbiju sa Chivasom, ova 2 tima dele HDC stadion, tako da je prednost domacina ovde minimalna, rekavsi to, u ovoj seriji, ne racunajuci proslu sezonu kad je LA imao teska vremena, domonira LA. Oni su povratili tu prednost, sa 5-2 u pobedama u prethodnim susretima ove sezone, kad je Donovan postigao het-trik.

Oni su u tesnoj borbi za vodecu poziciju u Zapadnoj Konferenziji i pobednik ce biti u jakoj poziciji,da ne kaze nista na prava lokalnog hvalisanja . Ocekujem da ce Donovan i Bekam da odrade svoje veceras, obojica su igrali veoma dobro u drugom poluvremenu kad su izgubili od New Englanda, u utakmici gde smo imali dobra 2 poluvremena. Donovan je bio bolestan i poceo sa klupe, Bekam je uglavnom bio zadrzan od 2 igraca ne pocetku , i na poluvremenu,
gubili su 2-0. Dominirali su u 2. poluvremenu i stvorili mnogo sansi, protiv veoma dobrog tima u odlicnoj formi, nema mnogo sumnji da su istocni klubovi jaci, pa mozemo da vidimo dosta toga u ovoj igri . Donovan ce poveti veceras i Bekam ce pokusati da izgradi svoju igru protiv Chivasa.

Verovatno ce biti golova, u poslednja 3 susreta imali smo "over" i LA nije samo tim koji je postigao najvise golova u MLS-u, 33. vec je i primio najvise, u proseku 2 po mecu sto je neverovatno za tim koji je u vrhu tabele. Ipak, ocekujem da ce motisvisan LA da pobedi.

5.5 points LA Galaxy -1/4 ball 2.01 asian line.  - Pola uloga izgubljeno, pola se vraća

Nybergsund v Sandefjord 0:0 1AH@2.02 - 7/10  


Azijski hendi, u slučaju nerešenog ulog se vraća !

Molde v Ham-Kam 1@2.00 - 8/10  

IFK Norrköping v GIF Sundsvall 2@3.50 - 6/10  

Cobh Ramblers v Sligo Rovers 2@2.38 - 6/10  

Aalesund v Molde 0:0 2 AH@2.00 - 8/10 !

Azijski hendi 0-0, u slučaju nerešenog ulog se vraća !


FT - 1-1 !

Stake return !

EVO VAM JEDNA ANALIZA, OVAKVIH ĆE BITI NA ZATVORENOM DELU SVAKI DAN OD 1 JULA !

IRELAND
PREMIER LEAGUE
FINN HARPS - BOHEMIANS

I am very keen on this bet. Finn Harps do not look up to this level, they have won just once in 13 starts, losing 10, including their last outing, which was a dire performance, they did not show at all and lost 2-1 away to Division 1 basement club Athlone, who had not previously won at home all season. That was 18 days ago and Harps have not had a fixture since, due to the mid season break, which means they have been brooding on it for almost three weeks.

If that was not bad enough, they are without the spine of their team today, with six players injured and striker Stephen Parkhouse suspended, he scored two goals in their only win in 13 and without him, much of their limited goal threat is gone.

Bohemians are probably the best team in Ireland, certainly on current form, they have won 7 in a row, including a 5-1 win in the Intertoto Cup at the weekend, which will also leave them the fitter of the two sides. A win this evening will give them a five point lead at the top of the table and with a tough run of fixtures, on three fronts and only one home league game in the next five weeks, they want to make the most of this "easy" match. They have huge competition for places now, with several key members of the squad, including Hunt,Cronin and Kelly all fully fit, returning and ultra keen to start, in what is already a winning side.

It is hard to see any let up, or change in form for either of these two, Bohemians have won the last three meetings, scoring three goals in each, including in a 3-0 win in the reverse fixture, earlier this season, I expect a similar margin of victory tonight.

7.5 points Bohemians -3/4 ball 1.90 asian line.

 

Objašnjenje ovog hendikepa :

Handicap (-0.75)

Pogodak je ukoliko ekipa dobije utakmicu sa dva ili više golova razlike . Ako pobedi samo sa jednim golom razlike uplata se deli na pola – Prva polovina je pogodak, druga polovina uloga se vraća.

 

IRELAND
DIVISION 1
WEXFORD YOUTHS- MONAGHAN UNITED

Irish football has now restarted after the short, three week, mid season break, actually, for most clubs it was just two weeks, with a cup game to play, after the completion of league duties.

I am making the visitors my selection, despite not having scored in 5 starts and being without their best player ! Playmaker Ian Maher being suspended this evening.

However, United were playing well before the break, without getting any breaks in front of goal, including in a 0-0 cup draw with Premier league side UCD, where they more than held their own.

In Wexford, they are meeting a side, struggling just as much in the goalscoring department, with just one goal in six outings. So, a goal fest is unlikely tonight, well, maybe not. As we have discussed before, when two struggling sides meet, there are often goals and the last 5 meetings between these two have all produced 2+ goals, the two fixtures here, averaging 5 per game.It would not surprise me if this was also "over".

However, I feel the better bet, is taking the visitors with the handicap start, as I said recent performances have shown promise and Youths, as the name might suggest, are very short on experience and have six likely starters aged 19 or under, actually four could be sub 18, that is way too young and is the core of their problems. Before the break they failed to break down non league side Killester United at home in the cup, infact, they were fortunate not to lose. They meet a tougher opponent tonight and are set to struggle again, the visitors will take heart from their two wins here last season and the number of chances they created in the first meeting this campaign.

5 points Monaghan United +1/4 2.09 asian line.